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Red36
451336.6
74918.5
263516.6
Blue45
68459.9
75322.8
302414.4
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions69480204060801001201401603645

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+11
Endgame+7
Fouls+9
Autonomouslevel
3Leave6
1Coral scored#0
3Coral points0
6Total auto6
TeleoperatedBlue +11
3Coral scored#4
10Coral points13
0Processor algae#0
1Net algae#3
0Processor points0
4Net points12
4Algae points12
14Total teleop25
Reef
1L4#2
1L3#1
1L2#1
1L1 · trough#0
5Game pieces#7
BargeRed +4
16Cage & park12
16Total endgame12
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +9
0Foul points2
36Total score45

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
36.62.4
22.820.4
Auto3.4
Teleop23.7
End9.5
red by 13.8
753
#16
22.80.1
15.014.9
Auto2.9
Teleop16.4
End3.5
Second
749
#28
18.52.4
18.416.0
Auto3.9
Teleop14.4
End0.2
red by 4.2
3024
#24
14.40.1
17.217.1
Auto2.6
Teleop10.6
End1.2
Third
2635
#25
16.62.4
16.414.0
Auto3.1
Teleop7.4
End6.0
red by 6.7
6845
#33
9.90.1
11.611.5
Auto3.0
Teleop4.5
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
41%Auto oddsMissed24%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
35%Barge oddsEarned39%Barge oddsMissed