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Qual 152025 PNW District Oregon State Fair Event
Red66
451336.6
406126.4
84715.2
Blue63
703426.4
302414.4
634336.4
32%Model gave it68%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6177020401001201406663

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+6
Teleop+9
Endgame+1
+3Fouls
AutonomousBlue +6
3Leave6
1Coral scored#1
3Coral points6
6Total auto12
TeleoperatedBlue +3
8Coral scored#8
30Coral points29
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#2
6Processor points6
4Net points8
10Algae points14
40Total teleop43
Reef
4L4#2
2L3#3
1L2#2
2L1 · trough#2
11Game pieces#12
BargeRed +8
14Cage & park6
14Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +3
6Foul points2
66Total score63

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4513
#2
36.60.7
20.4→21.1
Auto3.4
Teleop23.7
End9.5
red by 0.3
6343
#6
36.40.2
22.5→22.3
Auto5.0
Teleop29.3
End2.1
Second
4061
#4
26.40.7
17.3→18.0
Auto5.7
Teleop19.0
End1.8
Level
7034
#27
26.40.2
23.3→23.1
Auto5.7
Teleop16.3
End4.3
Third
847
#34
15.20.7
15.9→16.6
Auto4.2
Teleop9.5
End1.6
red by 0.9
3024
#24
14.40.2
17.1→16.9
Auto2.6
Teleop10.6
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
22%Auto oddsMissed33%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
46%Barge oddsEarned27%Barge oddsMissed