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Red59
68459.9
568313.0
853216.1
Blue61
237422.5
943812.6
75322.8
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions495902040801001205961

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+6Auto
Teleop+6
+4Endgame
Fouls+2
AutonomousRed +6
6Leave3
1Coral scored#0
3Coral points0
9Total auto3
TeleoperatedBlue +12
6Coral scored#9
22Coral points32
0Processor algae#1
3Net algae#2
0Processor points6
12Net points8
12Algae points14
34Total teleop46
Reef
3L4#3
2L3#3
1L2#1
1L1 · trough#2
10Game pieces#12
BargeRed +10
16Cage & park6
16Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +2
0Foul points6
59Total score61

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8532
#13
16.10.3
16.917.2
Auto2.8
Teleop6.9
End6.4
blue by 6.7
753
#16
22.80.6
14.914.3
Auto2.9
Teleop16.4
End3.5
Second
5683
#11
13.00.3
12.813.1
Auto3.5
Teleop8.4
End1.2
blue by 9.5
2374
#14
22.50.6
18.818.2
Auto-0.2
Teleop20.9
End1.8
Third
6845
#33
9.90.3
11.511.8
Auto3.0
Teleop4.5
End2.4
blue by 2.7
9438
#26
12.60.6
13.913.2
Auto0.6
Teleop9.2
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
20%Auto oddsMissed19%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
31%Barge oddsEarned39%Barge oddsMissed