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Red98
99730.2
406025.0
378621.0
Blue47
255024.2
593721.8
961314.3
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5963203040507080901009847

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+31Teleop
+33Endgame
+51Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
9Leave6
0Coral scored#0
0Coral points0
9Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +28
15Coral scored#8
53Coral points29
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#1
6Processor points6
8Net points4
14Algae points10
67Total teleop39
Reef
4L4#3
3L3#2
5L2#2
3L1 · trough#1
18Game pieces#10
BargeRed +2
4Cage & park2
4Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +51
18Foul points0
98Total score47

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
997
#5
30.21.9
19.020.9
Auto5.2
Teleop22.5
End2.5
red by 6.0
2550
#20
24.22.1
20.918.8
Auto2.9
Teleop15.2
End6.1
Second
25.01.9
16.918.8
Auto5.5
Teleop17.2
End2.3
red by 3.2
5937
#31
21.82.1
15.813.6
Auto3.3
Teleop17.0
End1.5
Third
3786
#22
21.01.9
10.612.5
Auto2.2
Teleop16.9
End1.8
red by 6.6
9613
#35
14.32.1
12.310.2
Auto3.4
Teleop9.3
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
21%Auto oddsMissed20%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
43%Barge oddsEarned42%Barge oddsMissed