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Red47
299029.6
292622.8
281130.3
Blue75
367443.7
371216.9
956716.3
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions103730501504775

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+6
Teleop+24
Endgame+28
Fouls+28
AutonomousBlue +6
3Leave3
1Coral scored#2
3Coral points9
6Total auto12
TeleoperatedBlue +18
6Coral scored#11
23Coral points39
0Processor algae#1
3Net algae#2
0Processor points6
12Net points8
12Algae points14
35Total teleop53
Reef
3L4#4
2L3#3
1L2#4
1L1 · trough#2
10Game pieces#16
BargeBlue +4
6Cage & park10
6Total endgame10
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +28
0Foul points0
47Total score75

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2811
#29
30.34.5
34.129.6
Auto4.8
Teleop18.9
End6.6
blue by 13.4
43.70.9
29.230.1
Auto9.8
Teleop31.9
End2.1
Second
2990
#12
29.64.5
24.219.7
Auto3.1
Teleop20.8
End5.7
red by 12.6
3712
#17
16.90.9
18.219.1
Auto3.3
Teleop12.3
End1.3
Third
2926
#23
22.84.5
26.522.0
Auto3.6
Teleop17.3
End1.9
red by 6.5
9567
#19
16.30.9
16.917.8
Auto5.0
Teleop8.1
End3.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
47%Auto oddsMissed42%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
58%Barge oddsMissed36%Barge oddsMissed