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Red113
95552.3
646522.2
371216.9
Blue37
281130.3
960026.1
28986.1
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8282406010012011337

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+17Auto
+80Teleop
+82Endgame
+76Fouls
AutonomousRed +17
0Leave3
5Coral scored#1
23Coral points3
23Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +63
15Coral scored#3
54Coral points11
2Processor algae#0
3Net algae#1
12Processor points0
12Net points4
24Algae points4
78Total teleop15
Reef
7L4#1
6L3#1
5L2#1
2L1 · trough#1
25Game pieces#5
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +76
6Foul points12
113Total score37

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
955
#1
52.34.1
32.536.6
Auto12.2
Teleop36.5
End3.7
red by 22.0
2811
#29
30.34.9
29.624.7
Auto4.8
Teleop18.9
End6.6
Second
6465
#15
22.24.1
15.619.7
Auto3.5
Teleop17.6
End1.2
blue by 3.9
9600
#21
26.14.9
16.812.0
Auto4.9
Teleop20.9
End0.3
Third
3712
#17
16.94.1
19.123.2
Auto3.3
Teleop12.3
End1.3
red by 10.8
2898
#30
6.14.9
19.614.7
Auto1.4
Teleop3.0
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
52%Auto oddsEarned35%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
25%Barge oddsMissed35%Barge oddsEarned