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Red62
252131.1
956716.3
299029.6
Blue35
592021.4
412512.7
263516.6
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions865002040601001201401606235

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+6Auto
+13Teleop
+27Endgame
+27Fouls
AutonomousRed +6
0Leave3
2Coral scored#1
12Coral points3
12Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +7
6Coral scored#4
22Coral points13
0Processor algae#1
2Net algae#1
0Processor points6
8Net points4
8Algae points10
30Total teleop23
Reef
3L4#2
2L3#2
2L2#1
1L1 · trough#0
10Game pieces#7
BargeRed +14
20Cage & park6
20Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +27
0Foul points0
62Total score35

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2521
#10
31.11.5
31.930.4
Auto4.6
Teleop23.4
End3.1
red by 9.7
21.41.9
15.613.8
Auto4.2
Teleop14.1
End3.1
Second
2990
#12
29.61.5
19.718.2
Auto3.1
Teleop20.8
End5.7
red by 13.0
2635
#25
16.61.9
14.012.1
Auto3.1
Teleop7.4
End6.0
Third
9567
#19
16.31.5
17.816.3
Auto5.0
Teleop8.1
End3.2
red by 3.6
4125
#18
12.71.9
17.015.2
Auto2.3
Teleop9.8
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
40%Auto oddsEarned24%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
38%Barge oddsEarned26%Barge oddsMissed