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Red63
302414.4
237422.5
99730.2
Blue91
634336.4
451336.6
406025.0
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions65722040801001206391

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+6
Teleop+16
Endgame+28
Fouls+28
AutonomousBlue +6
6Leave6
0Coral scored#1
0Coral points6
6Total auto12
TeleoperatedBlue +10
9Coral scored#15
33Coral points53
2Processor algae#1
2Net algae#1
12Processor points6
8Net points4
20Algae points10
53Total teleop63
Reef
3L4#7
2L3#3
2L2#3
2L1 · trough#3
13Game pieces#18
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +28
0Foul points0
63Total score91

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
997
#5
30.20.8
20.921.7
Auto5.2
Teleop22.5
End2.5
blue by 6.4
36.63.2
21.124.3
Auto3.4
Teleop23.7
End9.5
Second
2374
#14
22.50.8
18.219.0
Auto-0.2
Teleop20.9
End1.8
blue by 13.8
36.43.2
22.325.5
Auto5.0
Teleop29.3
End2.1
Third
3024
#24
14.40.8
16.917.7
Auto2.6
Teleop10.6
End1.2
blue by 10.6
25.03.2
18.822.0
Auto5.5
Teleop17.2
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
24%Auto oddsMissed34%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
42%Barge oddsMissed65%Barge oddsEarned