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Red29
68459.9
943812.6
593721.8
Blue96
367443.7
703426.4
13599.0
10%Model gave it90%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4384020601001201402996

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+23
Teleop+55
Endgame+55
Fouls+67
AutonomousBlue +23
3Leave0
0Coral scored#5
0Coral points26
3Total auto26
TeleoperatedBlue +32
5Coral scored#11
18Coral points40
0Processor algae#1
1Net algae#2
0Processor points6
4Net points8
4Algae points14
22Total teleop54
Reef
2L4#6
2L3#5
1L2#3
0L1 · trough#2
6Game pieces#19
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +67
0Foul points12
29Total score96

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5937
#31
21.82.1
13.611.5
Auto3.3
Teleop17.0
End1.5
blue by 21.9
43.70.9
31.532.5
Auto9.8
Teleop31.9
End2.1
Second
9438
#26
12.62.1
13.211.2
Auto0.6
Teleop9.2
End2.8
blue by 13.8
7034
#27
26.40.9
23.124.0
Auto5.7
Teleop16.3
End4.3
Third
6845
#33
9.92.1
11.89.8
Auto3.0
Teleop4.5
End2.4
red by 0.9
1359
#36
9.00.9
13.014.0
Auto3.9
Teleop3.6
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
15%Auto oddsMissed57%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
28%Barge oddsMissed16%Barge oddsMissed