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Red56
28986.1
406126.4
371216.9
Blue52
84715.2
853216.1
281130.3
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7069204060801005652

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+6
Endgame+14
+4Fouls
AutonomousBlue +3
3Leave0
1Coral scored#2
3Coral points9
6Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +3
3Coral scored#4
12Coral points15
0Processor algae#0
2Net algae#2
0Processor points0
8Net points8
8Algae points8
20Total teleop23
Reef
1L4#2
2L3#1
1L2#2
0L1 · trough#1
6Game pieces#8
BargeBlue +8
6Cage & park14
6Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +4
24Foul points6
56Total score52

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.42.9
18.015.1
Auto5.7
Teleop19.0
End1.8
blue by 3.9
2811
#29
30.31.7
24.723.0
Auto4.8
Teleop18.9
End6.6
Second
3712
#17
16.92.9
23.220.2
Auto3.3
Teleop12.3
End1.3
red by 0.8
8532
#13
16.11.7
17.215.5
Auto2.8
Teleop6.9
End6.4
Third
2898
#30
6.12.9
14.711.8
Auto1.4
Teleop3.0
End1.7
blue by 9.1
847
#34
15.21.7
16.614.9
Auto4.2
Teleop9.5
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
35%Auto oddsMissed22%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
29%Barge oddsEarned69%Barge oddsEarned