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Red59
469219.7
961314.3
646522.2
Blue82
412512.7
95552.3
568313.0
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5781020401001201405982

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
Teleop+27
Endgame+23
Fouls+23
AutonomousBlue +4
3Leave6
1Coral scored#1
6Coral points7
9Total auto13
TeleoperatedBlue +23
6Coral scored#8
22Coral points27
0Processor algae#1
1Net algae#4
0Processor points6
4Net points16
4Algae points22
26Total teleop49
Reef
3L4#3
1L3#2
2L2#3
1L1 · trough#1
8Game pieces#14
BargeRed +4
6Cage & park2
6Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +23
18Foul points18
59Total score82

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6465
#15
22.20.7
19.719.0
Auto3.5
Teleop17.6
End1.2
blue by 30.1
955
#1
52.30.1
36.636.5
Auto12.2
Teleop36.5
End3.7
Second
4692
#32
19.70.7
17.616.8
Auto2.5
Teleop15.6
End1.6
red by 6.7
5683
#11
13.00.1
13.113.0
Auto3.5
Teleop8.4
End1.2
Third
9613
#35
14.30.7
10.29.5
Auto3.4
Teleop9.3
End1.6
red by 1.7
4125
#18
12.70.1
15.215.1
Auto2.3
Teleop9.8
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
27%Auto oddsMissed35%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
15%Barge oddsMissed38%Barge oddsEarned