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Red79
292622.8
252131.1
960026.1
Blue58
255024.2
263516.6
956716.3
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8557020401001201407958

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
+21Teleop
+21Endgame
+21Fouls
AutonomousBlue +3
6Leave6
0Coral scored#1
0Coral points3
6Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +24
13Coral scored#11
45Coral points39
2Processor algae#1
3Net algae#0
12Processor points6
12Net points0
24Algae points6
69Total teleop45
Reef
5L4#4
2L3#4
3L2#2
3L1 · trough#2
18Game pieces#13
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +21
0Foul points0
79Total score58

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2521
#10
31.10.6
30.429.8
Auto4.6
Teleop23.4
End3.1
red by 6.9
2550
#20
24.21.0
18.817.8
Auto2.9
Teleop15.2
End6.1
Second
9600
#21
26.10.6
12.011.3
Auto4.9
Teleop20.9
End0.3
red by 9.5
2635
#25
16.61.0
12.111.1
Auto3.1
Teleop7.4
End6.0
Third
2926
#23
22.80.6
22.722.1
Auto3.6
Teleop17.3
End1.9
red by 6.5
9567
#19
16.31.0
16.315.3
Auto5.0
Teleop8.1
End3.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
49%Auto oddsMissed28%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
50%Barge oddsMissed53%Barge oddsMissed