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Red108
75322.8
214736.6
592021.4
Blue79
378621.0
74918.5
299029.6
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions735202040608010012014010879

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+13Teleop
+23Endgame
+29Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
3Leave0
1Coral scored#1
6Coral points6
9Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +10
14Coral scored#12
51Coral points43
3Processor algae#2
2Net algae#3
18Processor points12
8Net points12
26Algae points24
77Total teleop67
Reef
6L4#5
5L3#4
3L2#2
1L1 · trough#2
20Game pieces#18
BargeRed +10
16Cage & park6
16Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +29
6Foul points0
108Total score79

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
36.63.0
33.336.3
Auto4.6
Teleop30.5
End1.5
red by 7.0
2990
#12
29.61.9
18.220.0
Auto3.1
Teleop20.8
End5.7
Second
753
#16
22.83.0
14.317.2
Auto2.9
Teleop16.4
End3.5
red by 1.9
3786
#22
21.01.9
12.514.3
Auto2.2
Teleop16.9
End1.8
Third
21.43.0
13.816.7
Auto4.2
Teleop14.1
End3.1
red by 2.8
749
#28
18.51.9
17.419.3
Auto3.9
Teleop14.4
End0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
35%Auto oddsMissed39%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
18%Barge oddsEarned30%Barge oddsMissed