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Red46
960026.1
299029.6
961314.3
Blue66
292622.8
75322.8
568313.0
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions53680204060801001204666

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+22
Endgame+14
Fouls+20
AutonomousBlue +3
3Leave6
1Coral scored#1
3Coral points3
6Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +19
6Coral scored#9
20Coral points31
0Processor algae#0
2Net algae#4
0Processor points0
8Net points16
8Algae points16
28Total teleop47
Reef
2L4#5
2L3#2
2L2#2
1L1 · trough#1
9Game pieces#14
BargeRed +8
12Cage & park4
12Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +20
0Foul points6
46Total score66

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2990
#12
29.60.4
20.019.6
Auto3.1
Teleop20.8
End5.7
red by 6.7
753
#16
22.80.0
17.217.2
Auto2.9
Teleop16.4
End3.5
Second
9600
#21
26.10.4
11.310.9
Auto4.9
Teleop20.9
End0.3
red by 3.4
2926
#23
22.80.0
22.122.1
Auto3.6
Teleop17.3
End1.9
Third
9613
#35
14.30.4
9.59.1
Auto3.4
Teleop9.3
End1.6
red by 1.3
5683
#11
13.00.0
13.013.0
Auto3.5
Teleop8.4
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
20%Auto oddsMissed15%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
16%Barge oddsMissed52%Barge oddsMissed