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Red31
378621.0
943812.6
302414.4
Blue102
95552.3
281130.3
592021.4
8%Model gave it92%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4690020608010012014016031102

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+16
Teleop+67
Endgame+83
Fouls+71
AutonomousBlue +16
0Leave6
0Coral scored#2
0Coral points10
0Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +51
4Coral scored#12
13Coral points44
1Processor algae#3
0Net algae#2
6Processor points18
0Net points8
6Algae points26
19Total teleop70
Reef
2L4#6
1L3#4
1L2#2
0L1 · trough#2
5Game pieces#19
BargeBlue +16
0Cage & park16
0Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +71
12Foul points0
31Total score102

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3786
#22
21.03.6
14.310.7
Auto2.2
Teleop16.9
End1.8
blue by 31.4
955
#1
52.32.2
36.538.7
Auto12.2
Teleop36.5
End3.7
Second
3024
#24
14.43.6
17.714.1
Auto2.6
Teleop10.6
End1.2
blue by 15.9
2811
#29
30.32.2
23.025.2
Auto4.8
Teleop18.9
End6.6
Third
9438
#26
12.63.6
11.27.6
Auto0.6
Teleop9.2
End2.8
blue by 8.8
21.42.2
16.718.9
Auto4.2
Teleop14.1
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
15%Auto oddsMissed31%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
20%Barge oddsMissed62%Barge oddsEarned