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Red81
74918.5
255024.2
68459.9
Blue107
406126.4
214736.6
469219.7
15%Model gave it85%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5789020408010012014081107

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+42
Endgame+32
Fouls+26
AutonomousBlue +3
3Leave6
0Coral scored#0
0Coral points0
3Total auto6
TeleoperatedBlue +39
12Coral scored#21
42Coral points75
1Processor algae#2
2Net algae#2
6Processor points12
8Net points8
14Algae points20
56Total teleop95
Reef
5L4#9
3L3#5
2L2#4
2L1 · trough#3
15Game pieces#25
BargeRed +10
16Cage & park6
16Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +26
6Foul points0
81Total score107

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2550
#20
24.20.6
17.818.3
Auto2.9
Teleop15.2
End6.1
blue by 12.4
36.61.9
36.338.2
Auto4.6
Teleop30.5
End1.5
Second
749
#28
18.50.6
19.319.8
Auto3.9
Teleop14.4
End0.2
blue by 7.9
26.41.9
15.117.0
Auto5.7
Teleop19.0
End1.8
Third
6845
#33
9.90.6
9.810.3
Auto3.0
Teleop4.5
End2.4
blue by 9.8
4692
#32
19.71.9
16.818.7
Auto2.5
Teleop15.6
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
22%Auto oddsMissed32%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
29%Barge oddsEarned37%Barge oddsMissed