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Red14
237422.5
263516.6
28986.1
Blue60
371216.9
99730.2
593721.8
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions516202040801001460

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+9
Teleop+44
Endgame+46
Fouls+46
AutonomousBlue +9
0Leave0
0Coral scored#2
0Coral points9
0Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +35
3Coral scored#10
10Coral points35
0Processor algae#1
0Net algae#1
0Processor points6
0Net points4
0Algae points10
10Total teleop45
Reef
1L4#5
1L3#4
1L2#2
0L1 · trough#1
3Game pieces#14
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +46
0Foul points0
14Total score60

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2374
#14
22.53.8
20.516.7
Auto-0.2
Teleop20.9
End1.8
blue by 7.7
997
#5
30.20.4
21.421.8
Auto5.2
Teleop22.5
End2.5
Second
2635
#25
16.63.8
11.27.4
Auto3.1
Teleop7.4
End6.0
blue by 5.2
5937
#31
21.80.4
11.612.0
Auto3.3
Teleop17.0
End1.5
Third
2898
#30
6.13.8
10.97.1
Auto1.4
Teleop3.0
End1.7
blue by 10.8
3712
#17
16.90.4
18.218.5
Auto3.3
Teleop12.3
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
8%Auto oddsMissed44%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
32%Barge oddsMissed31%Barge oddsMissed