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Red66
75322.8
646522.2
634336.4
Blue79
451336.6
961314.3
292622.8
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions686002040801001206679

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+3Teleop
Endgame+7
Fouls+13
Autonomouslevel
6Leave6
0Coral scored#0
0Coral points0
6Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +3
12Coral scored#10
42Coral points35
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#3
6Processor points6
8Net points12
14Algae points18
56Total teleop53
Reef
3L4#3
5L3#4
2L2#1
2L1 · trough#2
15Game pieces#14
BargeBlue +10
4Cage & park14
4Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +13
0Foul points6
66Total score79

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
36.40.5
25.826.4
Auto5.0
Teleop29.3
End2.1
blue by 0.3
36.61.8
25.827.6
Auto3.4
Teleop23.7
End9.5
Second
753
#16
22.80.5
17.217.8
Auto2.9
Teleop16.4
End3.5
red by 0.1
2926
#23
22.81.8
22.123.9
Auto3.6
Teleop17.3
End1.9
Third
6465
#15
22.20.5
18.118.7
Auto3.5
Teleop17.6
End1.2
red by 7.9
9613
#35
14.31.8
9.110.8
Auto3.4
Teleop9.3
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
29%Auto oddsMissed19%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
21%Barge oddsMissed37%Barge oddsEarned