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Red46
406025.0
592021.4
568313.0
Blue95
406126.4
252131.1
95552.3
4%Model gave it96%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5910702040801201401604695

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+45
Endgame+49
Fouls+49
AutonomousBlue +7
3Leave6
2Coral scored#3
9Coral points13
12Total auto19
TeleoperatedBlue +38
6Coral scored#13
22Coral points48
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#4
6Processor points6
4Net points16
10Algae points22
32Total teleop70
Reef
4L4#6
1L3#5
2L2#4
1L1 · trough#1
10Game pieces#21
BargeBlue +4
2Cage & park6
2Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +49
0Foul points0
46Total score95

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.00.8
21.120.3
Auto5.5
Teleop17.2
End2.3
blue by 27.3
955
#1
52.31.0
38.739.8
Auto12.2
Teleop36.5
End3.7
Second
21.40.8
18.918.2
Auto4.2
Teleop14.1
End3.1
blue by 9.7
2521
#10
31.11.0
29.931.0
Auto4.6
Teleop23.4
End3.1
Third
5683
#11
13.00.8
13.012.2
Auto3.5
Teleop8.4
End1.2
blue by 13.4
26.41.0
17.018.0
Auto5.7
Teleop19.0
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
20%Auto oddsEarned39%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
66%Barge oddsMissed57%Barge oddsMissed