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Red58
592021.4
634336.4
252131.1
Blue13
13599.0
568313.0
28986.1
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions95310204060801201405813

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+43Teleop
+45Endgame
+45Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
6Leave6
1Coral scored#0
3Coral points0
9Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +40
8Coral scored#1
29Coral points3
1Processor algae#0
2Net algae#0
6Processor points0
8Net points0
14Algae points0
43Total teleop3
Reef
2L4#1
3L3#0
2L2#0
2L1 · trough#0
12Game pieces#1
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +45
0Foul points0
58Total score13

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
36.41.9
26.424.4
Auto5.0
Teleop29.3
End2.1
red by 23.3
5683
#11
13.02.0
12.210.2
Auto3.5
Teleop8.4
End1.2
Second
2521
#10
31.11.9
31.029.0
Auto4.6
Teleop23.4
End3.1
red by 22.1
1359
#36
9.02.0
11.69.6
Auto3.9
Teleop3.6
End1.6
Third
21.41.9
18.216.2
Auto4.2
Teleop14.1
End3.1
red by 15.3
2898
#30
6.12.0
7.15.1
Auto1.4
Teleop3.0
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
60%Auto oddsMissed23%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
31%Barge oddsMissed34%Barge oddsMissed