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Red121
299029.6
99730.2
943812.6
Blue111
469219.7
75322.8
960026.1
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions69630204080100120140121111

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+8
+4Endgame
+10Fouls
Autonomouslevel
6Leave0
1Coral scored#2
3Coral points9
9Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +8
16Coral scored#16
56Coral points58
3Processor algae#2
4Net algae#7
18Processor points12
16Net points28
34Algae points40
90Total teleop98
Reef
7L4#6
5L3#6
3L2#4
2L1 · trough#2
24Game pieces#27
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +10
6Foul points0
121Total score111

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
997
#5
30.24.3
21.826.1
Auto5.2
Teleop22.5
End2.5
red by 4.1
9600
#21
26.14.0
10.614.6
Auto4.9
Teleop20.9
End0.3
Second
2990
#12
29.64.3
21.826.1
Auto3.1
Teleop20.8
End5.7
red by 6.7
753
#16
22.84.0
17.821.8
Auto2.9
Teleop16.4
End3.5
Third
9438
#26
12.64.3
8.412.7
Auto0.6
Teleop9.2
End2.8
blue by 7.2
4692
#32
19.74.0
19.523.6
Auto2.5
Teleop15.6
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
15%Auto oddsMissed11%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
32%Barge oddsEarned22%Barge oddsMissed