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Red85
367443.7
84715.2
961314.3
Blue97
593721.8
281130.3
451336.6
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions70772040601001201408597

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+11Auto
+8Teleop
Endgame+12
Fouls+12
AutonomousRed +11
9Leave9
3Coral scored#1
14Coral points3
23Total auto12
TeleoperatedBlue +3
13Coral scored#13
46Coral points45
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#2
6Processor points6
4Net points8
10Algae points14
56Total teleop59
Reef
4L4#5
5L3#5
5L2#2
2L1 · trough#2
18Game pieces#17
BargeBlue +20
6Cage & park26
6Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +12
0Foul points0
85Total score97

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
43.72.2
35.137.2
Auto9.8
Teleop31.9
End2.1
red by 7.1
36.62.7
27.630.3
Auto3.4
Teleop23.7
End9.5
Second
847
#34
15.22.2
14.316.5
Auto4.2
Teleop9.5
End1.6
blue by 15.1
2811
#29
30.32.7
27.430.1
Auto4.8
Teleop18.9
End6.6
Third
9613
#35
14.32.2
10.813.0
Auto3.4
Teleop9.3
End1.6
blue by 7.5
5937
#31
21.82.7
12.014.7
Auto3.3
Teleop17.0
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
22%Auto oddsEarned18%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
33%Barge oddsMissed83%Barge oddsEarned