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Red50
943812.6
292622.8
74918.5
Blue98
99730.2
634336.4
406126.4
25%Model gave it75%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions658120401001201405098

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+12
Teleop+48
Endgame+48
Fouls+48
AutonomousBlue +12
3Leave9
0Coral scored#1
0Coral points6
3Total auto15
TeleoperatedBlue +36
9Coral scored#16
31Coral points57
0Processor algae#1
3Net algae#4
0Processor points6
12Net points16
12Algae points22
43Total teleop79
Reef
4L4#6
2L3#6
2L2#4
1L1 · trough#1
12Game pieces#22
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +48
0Foul points0
50Total score98

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2926
#23
22.81.2
25.424.2
Auto3.6
Teleop17.3
End1.9
blue by 13.6
36.42.4
24.426.8
Auto5.0
Teleop29.3
End2.1
Second
749
#28
18.51.2
18.317.1
Auto3.9
Teleop14.4
End0.2
blue by 11.7
997
#5
30.22.4
26.128.5
Auto5.2
Teleop22.5
End2.5
Third
9438
#26
12.61.2
12.711.5
Auto0.6
Teleop9.2
End2.8
blue by 13.8
26.42.4
18.320.7
Auto5.7
Teleop19.0
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
22%Auto oddsMissed22%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
31%Barge oddsMissed29%Barge oddsMissed