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Red113
75322.8
255024.2
703426.4
Blue141
263516.6
406025.0
95552.3
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions77850204060100120140160113141

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+13
Teleop+26
Endgame+28
Fouls+28
AutonomousBlue +13
3Leave6
1Coral scored#3
6Coral points16
9Total auto22
TeleoperatedBlue +13
18Coral scored#22
64Coral points79
3Processor algae#2
2Net algae#3
18Processor points12
8Net points12
26Algae points24
90Total teleop103
Reef
8L4#11
4L3#5
3L2#7
4L1 · trough#2
24Game pieces#30
BargeBlue +2
14Cage & park16
14Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +28
0Foul points0
113Total score141

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7034
#27
26.42.8
21.924.7
Auto5.7
Teleop16.3
End4.3
blue by 25.9
955
#1
52.35.0
41.346.3
Auto12.2
Teleop36.5
End3.7
Second
2550
#20
24.22.8
16.519.3
Auto2.9
Teleop15.2
End6.1
blue by 0.8
25.05.0
20.625.6
Auto5.5
Teleop17.2
End2.3
Third
753
#16
22.82.8
21.824.6
Auto2.9
Teleop16.4
End3.5
red by 6.2
2635
#25
16.65.0
7.012.0
Auto3.1
Teleop7.4
End6.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
16%Auto oddsMissed48%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
37%Barge oddsEarned41%Barge oddsEarned