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Red65
214736.6
956716.3
406025.0
Blue28
28986.1
68459.9
84715.2
100%Model gave it0%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions952504060801201401606528

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+10Auto
+43Teleop
+43Endgame
+37Fouls
AutonomousRed +10
6Leave6
3Coral scored#1
13Coral points3
19Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +33
9Coral scored#3
32Coral points9
1Processor algae#0
1Net algae#0
6Processor points0
4Net points0
10Algae points0
42Total teleop9
Reef
3L4#2
4L3#1
3L2#1
2L1 · trough#0
14Game pieces#4
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +37
0Foul points6
65Total score28

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
36.60.8
36.235.3
Auto4.6
Teleop30.5
End1.5
red by 21.4
847
#34
15.20.4
13.112.7
Auto4.2
Teleop9.5
End1.6
Second
25.00.8
23.022.1
Auto5.5
Teleop17.2
End2.3
red by 15.1
6845
#33
9.90.4
8.98.5
Auto3.0
Teleop4.5
End2.4
Third
9567
#19
16.30.8
15.314.4
Auto5.0
Teleop8.1
End3.2
red by 10.2
2898
#30
6.10.4
4.33.9
Auto1.4
Teleop3.0
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
52%Auto oddsEarned15%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
27%Barge oddsMissed22%Barge oddsMissed