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Red61
961314.3
703426.4
943812.6
Blue99
646522.2
302414.4
299029.6
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions58672040801006199

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+6
Teleop+38
Endgame+36
Fouls+38
AutonomousBlue +6
0Leave6
1Coral scored#1
6Coral points6
6Total auto12
TeleoperatedBlue +32
8Coral scored#15
29Coral points53
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#3
6Processor points6
4Net points12
10Algae points18
39Total teleop71
Reef
2L4#5
4L3#6
2L2#3
1L1 · trough#2
11Game pieces#20
BargeRed +2
16Cage & park14
16Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +38
0Foul points2
61Total score99

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7034
#27
26.40.6
24.024.6
Auto5.7
Teleop16.3
End4.3
blue by 3.2
2990
#12
29.62.9
29.031.9
Auto3.1
Teleop20.8
End5.7
Second
9613
#35
14.30.6
12.713.3
Auto3.4
Teleop9.3
End1.6
blue by 7.9
6465
#15
22.22.9
17.820.7
Auto3.5
Teleop17.6
End1.2
Third
9438
#26
12.60.6
12.012.6
Auto0.6
Teleop9.2
End2.8
blue by 1.8
3024
#24
14.42.9
11.214.1
Auto2.6
Teleop10.6
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
28%Auto oddsMissed12%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
24%Barge oddsEarned17%Barge oddsEarned