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Red93
568313.0
451336.6
378621.0
Blue72
371216.9
292622.8
255024.2
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions718340601001209372

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+9Teleop
+21Endgame
+21Fouls
Autonomouslevel
3Leave9
1Coral scored#0
6Coral points0
9Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +9
15Coral scored#9
54Coral points33
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#5
6Processor points6
8Net points20
14Algae points26
68Total teleop59
Reef
4L4#3
5L3#3
4L2#2
3L1 · trough#1
19Game pieces#15
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +21
0Foul points0
93Total score72

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
36.61.8
33.635.4
Auto3.4
Teleop23.7
End9.5
red by 12.4
2550
#20
24.20.3
22.922.6
Auto2.9
Teleop15.2
End6.1
Second
3786
#22
21.01.8
16.318.2
Auto2.2
Teleop16.9
End1.8
blue by 1.8
2926
#23
22.80.3
23.523.2
Auto3.6
Teleop17.3
End1.9
Third
5683
#11
13.01.8
10.212.0
Auto3.5
Teleop8.4
End1.2
blue by 3.9
3712
#17
16.90.3
17.317.0
Auto3.3
Teleop12.3
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
18%Auto oddsMissed24%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
70%Barge oddsEarned56%Barge oddsMissed