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Red65
634336.4
28986.1
956716.3
Blue75
68459.9
99730.2
367443.7
2%Model gave it98%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions511010204060801201401606575

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
Teleop+16
Endgame+10
Fouls+10
AutonomousBlue +4
9Leave9
1Coral scored#1
3Coral points7
12Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +12
7Coral scored#11
25Coral points41
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#2
6Processor points6
12Net points8
18Algae points14
43Total teleop55
Reef
4L4#4
2L3#4
1L2#2
1L1 · trough#2
12Game pieces#15
BargeRed +6
10Cage & park4
10Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +10
0Foul points0
65Total score75

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
36.40.9
32.433.4
Auto5.0
Teleop29.3
End2.1
blue by 7.3
43.70.9
42.942.0
Auto9.8
Teleop31.9
End2.1
Second
9567
#19
16.30.9
14.415.4
Auto5.0
Teleop8.1
End3.2
blue by 13.9
997
#5
30.20.9
31.430.5
Auto5.2
Teleop22.5
End2.5
Third
2898
#30
6.10.9
3.94.9
Auto1.4
Teleop3.0
End1.7
blue by 3.8
6845
#33
9.90.9
8.57.7
Auto3.0
Teleop4.5
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
41%Auto oddsEarned52%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
17%Barge oddsMissed37%Barge oddsMissed