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Red88
281130.3
451336.6
99730.2
Blue105
703426.4
634336.4
956716.3
87%Model gave it13%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11484406010012014016088105

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
Teleop+17
Endgame+9
Fouls+17
AutonomousBlue +14
0Leave9
2Coral scored#3
12Coral points17
12Total auto26
TeleoperatedBlue +3
10Coral scored#11
36Coral points39
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#2
6Processor points6
8Net points8
14Algae points14
50Total teleop53
Reef
5L4#6
3L3#4
2L2#3
2L1 · trough#1
15Game pieces#17
BargeRed +8
26Cage & park18
26Total endgame18
Penalties & totalBlue +17
0Foul points8
88Total score105

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
36.60.4
37.136.6
Auto3.4
Teleop23.7
End9.5
red by 0.3
36.40.2
36.236.4
Auto5.0
Teleop29.3
End2.1
Second
2811
#29
30.30.4
30.730.3
Auto4.8
Teleop18.9
End6.6
red by 3.9
7034
#27
26.40.2
26.226.4
Auto5.7
Teleop16.3
End4.3
Third
997
#5
30.20.4
30.630.2
Auto5.2
Teleop22.5
End2.5
red by 13.9
9567
#19
16.30.2
16.116.3
Auto5.0
Teleop8.1
End3.2