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Red105
237422.5
406025.0
378621.0
Blue126
592021.4
292622.8
960026.1
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8385708090100110120105126

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+6
Teleop+15
Endgame+15
Fouls+21
AutonomousBlue +6
6Leave6
1Coral scored#2
6Coral points12
12Total auto18
TeleoperatedBlue +9
16Coral scored#19
57Coral points68
3Processor algae#2
3Net algae#4
18Processor points12
12Net points16
30Algae points28
87Total teleop96
Reef
6L4#11
6L3#5
2L2#3
3L1 · trough#2
23Game pieces#27
Bargelevel
6Cage & park6
6Total endgame6
Penalties & totalBlue +21
0Foul points6
105Total score126

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.00.3
24.725.0
Auto5.5
Teleop17.2
End2.3
blue by 1.1
9600
#21
26.10.5
25.826.3
Auto4.9
Teleop20.9
End0.3
Second
2374
#14
22.50.3
22.222.5
Auto-0.2
Teleop20.9
End1.8
blue by 0.2
2926
#23
22.80.5
22.422.9
Auto3.6
Teleop17.3
End1.9
Third
3786
#22
21.00.3
20.721.0
Auto2.2
Teleop16.9
End1.8
blue by 0.4
21.40.5
21.021.5
Auto4.2
Teleop14.1
End3.1