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Red98
281130.3
451336.6
99730.2
Blue107
214736.6
469219.7
406126.4
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1189340608010014016018098107

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
Teleop+19
Endgame+9
Fouls+9
AutonomousBlue +4
6Leave0
1Coral scored#3
6Coral points16
12Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +15
13Coral scored#16
46Coral points59
1Processor algae#2
5Net algae#4
6Processor points12
20Net points16
26Algae points28
72Total teleop87
Reef
3L4#8
6L3#4
2L2#5
3L1 · trough#2
20Game pieces#25
BargeRed +10
14Cage & park4
14Total endgame4
Penalties & totalBlue +9
0Foul points0
98Total score107

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
36.60.0
37.137.1
Auto3.4
Teleop23.7
End9.5
Level
36.60.6
35.736.3
Auto4.6
Teleop30.5
End1.5
Second
2811
#29
30.30.0
30.730.7
Auto4.8
Teleop18.9
End6.6
red by 3.9
26.40.6
25.526.1
Auto5.7
Teleop19.0
End1.8
Third
997
#5
30.20.0
30.730.6
Auto5.2
Teleop22.5
End2.5
red by 10.5
4692
#32
19.70.6
18.819.4
Auto2.5
Teleop15.6
End1.6