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Red137
214736.6
469219.7
406126.4
Blue120
592021.4
292622.8
960026.1
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions101844060120140137120

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
+23Teleop
+23Endgame
+17Fouls
AutonomousRed +4
3Leave9
3Coral scored#1
13Coral points3
16Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +19
23Coral scored#21
81Coral points76
4Processor algae#1
3Net algae#4
24Processor points6
12Net points16
36Algae points22
117Total teleop98
Reef
10L4#8
7L3#7
6L2#4
3L1 · trough#3
33Game pieces#27
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Penalties & totalRed +17
0Foul points6
137Total score120

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
36.60.9
34.835.7
Auto4.6
Teleop30.5
End1.5
red by 10.5
9600
#21
26.10.5
25.325.8
Auto4.9
Teleop20.9
End0.3
Second
26.40.9
24.625.5
Auto5.7
Teleop19.0
End1.8
red by 3.6
2926
#23
22.80.5
21.922.4
Auto3.6
Teleop17.3
End1.9
Third
4692
#32
19.70.9
18.018.8
Auto2.5
Teleop15.6
End1.6
blue by 1.6
21.40.5
20.621.0
Auto4.2
Teleop14.1
End3.1