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Red62
75322.8
299029.6
568313.0
Blue95
703426.4
634336.4
956716.3
24%Model gave it76%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7288204060801001201406295

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
Teleop+45
Endgame+39
Fouls+33
AutonomousBlue +14
6Leave3
1Coral scored#5
6Coral points23
12Total auto26
TeleoperatedBlue +31
6Coral scored#9
20Coral points33
1Processor algae#2
1Net algae#4
6Processor points12
4Net points16
10Algae points28
30Total teleop61
Reef
3L4#5
2L3#5
1L2#3
1L1 · trough#1
9Game pieces#20
BargeRed +6
14Cage & park8
14Total endgame8
Penalties & totalBlue +33
6Foul points0
62Total score95

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2990
#12
29.60.2
29.829.6
Auto3.1
Teleop20.8
End5.7
blue by 6.8
36.40.4
35.836.2
Auto5.0
Teleop29.3
End2.1
Second
753
#16
22.80.2
23.122.8
Auto2.9
Teleop16.4
End3.5
blue by 3.6
7034
#27
26.40.4
25.826.2
Auto5.7
Teleop16.3
End4.3
Third
5683
#11
13.00.2
13.313.0
Auto3.5
Teleop8.4
End1.2
blue by 3.2
9567
#19
16.30.4
15.716.1
Auto5.0
Teleop8.1
End3.2