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Red97
273327.4
956724.9
252143.9
Blue89
469232.0
237433.6
302419.0
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions79836070901001101209789

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+20Auto
+6Teleop
+8Endgame
+8Fouls
AutonomousRed +20
6Leave6
4Coral scored#0
20Coral points0
26Total auto6
TeleoperatedBlue +14
10Coral scored#18
37Coral points65
2Processor algae#1
4Net algae#2
12Processor points6
16Net points8
28Algae points14
65Total teleop79
Reef
5L4#6
4L3#3
3L2#5
2L1 · trough#4
20Game pieces#21
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +8
0Foul points0
97Total score89

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2521
#10
43.91.4
33.534.9
Auto14.0
Teleop27.0
End2.9
red by 10.2
2374
#11
33.60.8
25.826.7
Auto1.6
Teleop29.2
End2.9
Second
2733
#33
27.41.4
17.619.0
Auto4.4
Teleop21.7
End1.3
blue by 4.7
4692
#24
32.00.8
30.531.4
Auto6.3
Teleop25.2
End0.6
Third
9567
#13
24.91.4
18.920.3
Auto6.0
Teleop14.1
End4.8
red by 5.9
3024
#34
19.00.8
14.915.7
Auto4.0
Teleop12.4
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
60%Auto oddsEarned16%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
16%Barge oddsMissed27%Barge oddsMissed