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Red49
367327.8
644336.0
597022.2
Blue99
59758.7
142550.7
683131.6
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions89632040801001201401604999

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+21
Teleop+40
Endgame+52
Fouls+50
AutonomousBlue +21
6Leave6
1Coral scored#5
3Coral points24
9Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +19
7Coral scored#12
24Coral points43
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#1
6Processor points6
4Net points4
10Algae points10
34Total teleop53
Reef
4L4#7
2L3#4
1L2#3
1L1 · trough#3
10Game pieces#19
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +50
2Foul points0
49Total score99

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6443
#22
36.02.2
36.534.2
Auto6.7
Teleop22.8
End6.6
blue by 14.7
50.72.4
34.837.2
Auto16.0
Teleop27.7
End7.0
Second
3673
#25
27.82.2
27.124.8
Auto4.8
Teleop21.8
End1.2
blue by 3.8
6831
#27
31.62.4
25.027.4
Auto4.1
Teleop25.4
End2.2
Third
5970
#26
22.22.2
17.214.9
Auto6.1
Teleop8.9
End7.1
red by 13.5
5975
#16
8.72.4
3.05.4
Auto3.0
Teleop2.9
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
68%Auto oddsMissed25%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
2%Coral oddsMissed10%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
91%Barge oddsMissed50%Barge oddsEarned