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Red160
237433.6
634344.9
247143.9
Blue131
1044417.5
960036.1
273327.4
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1547750100200250160131

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
+31Teleop
+29Endgame
+29Fouls
AutonomousBlue +3
6Leave3
2Coral scored#3
10Coral points16
16Total auto19
TeleoperatedRed +34
24Coral scored#23
88Coral points82
3Processor algae#1
6Net algae#2
18Processor points6
24Net points8
42Algae points14
130Total teleop96
Reef
10L4#12
6L3#7
6L2#4
4L1 · trough#3
35Game pieces#29
BargeBlue +2
14Cage & park16
14Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +29
0Foul points0
160Total score131

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6343
#17
44.90.8
47.748.5
Auto11.3
Teleop32.0
End1.6
red by 8.8
9600
#18
36.12.6
31.334.0
Auto7.3
Teleop22.8
End6.0
Second
43.90.8
42.943.8
Auto7.7
Teleop30.9
End5.3
red by 16.6
2733
#33
27.42.6
25.027.6
Auto4.4
Teleop21.7
End1.3
Third
2374
#11
33.60.8
32.933.8
Auto1.6
Teleop29.2
End2.9
red by 16.1
17.52.6
11.113.7
Auto5.7
Teleop9.6
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
53%Auto oddsEarned35%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
12%Coral oddsEarned3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
60%Barge oddsEarned42%Barge oddsEarned