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Red122
184418.3
75329.2
281151.9
Blue64
956724.9
135916.1
159518.2
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12057010015020012264

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
+48Teleop
+58Endgame
+58Fouls
AutonomousRed +4
9Leave9
1Coral scored#1
7Coral points3
16Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +44
13Coral scored#9
48Coral points32
2Processor algae#0
5Net algae#1
12Processor points0
20Net points4
32Algae points4
80Total teleop36
Reef
5L4#4
4L3#2
3L2#3
2L1 · trough#1
21Game pieces#11
BargeRed +10
26Cage & park16
26Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +58
0Foul points0
122Total score64

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
51.90.6
52.653.2
Auto11.2
Teleop32.1
End8.7
red by 27.0
9567
#13
24.90.5
22.422.0
Auto6.0
Teleop14.1
End4.8
Second
753
#12
29.20.6
27.728.4
Auto1.3
Teleop20.2
End7.7
red by 11.0
1595
#21
18.20.5
20.620.2
Auto6.7
Teleop8.7
End2.7
Third
1844
#23
18.30.6
18.419.0
Auto5.1
Teleop9.7
End3.4
red by 2.1
1359
#31
16.10.5
13.813.3
Auto4.0
Teleop7.5
End4.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
55%Auto oddsEarned88%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
15%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
89%Barge oddsEarned24%Barge oddsEarned