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Red106
669652.2
159518.2
252143.9
Blue74
644336.0
943031.4
75329.2
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13211140608010012014016018020010674

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+17Auto
+52Teleop
+32Endgame
+32Fouls
AutonomousRed +17
6Leave3
5Coral scored#2
24Coral points10
30Total auto13
TeleoperatedRed +35
13Coral scored#7
48Coral points25
2Processor algae#0
3Net algae#3
12Processor points0
12Net points12
24Algae points12
72Total teleop37
Reef
5L4#4
6L3#3
4L2#1
3L1 · trough#1
23Game pieces#12
BargeBlue +20
4Cage & park24
4Total endgame24
Penalties & totalRed +32
0Foul points0
106Total score74

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6696
#14
52.20.2
52.352.1
Auto9.5
Teleop41.0
End1.7
red by 16.2
6443
#22
36.00.5
36.636.0
Auto6.7
Teleop22.8
End6.6
Second
2521
#10
43.90.2
43.943.7
Auto14.0
Teleop27.0
End2.9
red by 12.5
9430
#15
31.40.5
31.931.4
Auto5.9
Teleop20.8
End4.6
Third
1595
#21
18.20.2
18.218.0
Auto6.7
Teleop8.7
End2.7
blue by 11.0
753
#12
29.20.5
29.729.2
Auto1.3
Teleop20.2
End7.7