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Red135
154051.6
142550.7
99730.4
Blue120
255029.4
367455.7
281151.9
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions145154100200135120

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+19Teleop
+7Endgame
+15Fouls
Autonomouslevel
3Leave0
7Coral scored#7
34Coral points37
37Total auto37
TeleoperatedRed +19
12Coral scored#11
42Coral points41
3Processor algae#2
4Net algae#1
18Processor points12
16Net points4
34Algae points16
76Total teleop57
Reef
6L4#5
6L3#6
3L2#5
4L1 · trough#2
26Game pieces#21
BargeBlue +12
14Cage & park26
14Total endgame26
Penalties & totalRed +15
8Foul points0
135Total score120

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
51.60.3
51.851.6
Auto11.8
Teleop33.3
End6.5
blue by 4.1
55.70.5
56.255.7
Auto12.2
Teleop37.3
End6.2
Second
50.70.3
51.050.7
Auto16.0
Teleop27.7
End7.0
blue by 1.2
51.90.5
52.551.9
Auto11.2
Teleop32.1
End8.7
Third
997
#28
30.40.3
30.630.4
Auto5.9
Teleop24.6
End-0.2
red by 0.9
2550
#19
29.40.5
30.029.4
Auto4.1
Teleop18.6
End6.7