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Red139
154051.6
142550.7
99730.4
Blue112
669652.2
159518.2
252143.9
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14812550100200250139112

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+10Auto
+17Teleop
+29Endgame
+27Fouls
AutonomousRed +10
3Leave0
5Coral scored#4
27Coral points20
30Total auto20
TeleoperatedRed +7
19Coral scored#17
67Coral points62
2Processor algae#1
4Net algae#5
12Processor points6
16Net points20
28Algae points26
95Total teleop88
Reef
8L4#7
8L3#8
4L2#4
4L1 · trough#2
30Game pieces#27
BargeRed +12
14Cage & park2
14Total endgame2
Penalties & totalRed +27
0Foul points2
139Total score112

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
51.60.1
51.551.7
Auto11.8
Teleop33.3
End6.5
blue by 0.7
6696
#14
52.20.1
52.452.3
Auto9.5
Teleop41.0
End1.7
Second
50.70.1
50.650.8
Auto16.0
Teleop27.7
End7.0
red by 6.9
2521
#10
43.90.1
44.043.9
Auto14.0
Teleop27.0
End2.9
Third
997
#28
30.40.1
30.330.4
Auto5.9
Teleop24.6
End-0.2
red by 12.2
1595
#21
18.20.1
18.318.2
Auto6.7
Teleop8.7
End2.7