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Red113
95753.5
363653.0
999817.5
Blue138
703451.0
142555.0
404332.5
38%Model gave it62%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions120157050100200250300350400113138

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+8
Teleop+25
Endgame+25
Fouls+25
AutonomousBlue +8
3Leave9
6Coral scored#6
30Coral points32
33Total auto41
TeleoperatedBlue +17
10Coral scored#19
36Coral points67
2Processor algae#1
4Net algae#2
12Processor points6
16Net points8
28Algae points14
64Total teleop81
Reef
8L4#9
4L3#7
2L2#5
2L1 · trough#4
22Game pieces#28
Bargelevel
16Cage & park16
16Total endgame16
Penalties & totalBlue +25
0Foul points0
113Total score138

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
957
#4
53.50.2
52.752.6
Auto17.5
Teleop27.8
End8.2
blue by 1.5
55.00.1
56.156.0
Auto16.4
Teleop30.1
End8.6
Second
3636
#12
53.00.2
52.352.1
Auto15.6
Teleop37.6
End-0.1
red by 2.0
51.00.1
52.152.0
Auto17.4
Teleop27.8
End5.9
Third
17.50.3
16.416.1
Auto6.3
Teleop9.6
End1.7
blue by 15.0
32.50.1
33.633.5
Auto10.7
Teleop18.5
End3.4