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Red166
95753.5
363653.0
999817.5
Blue98
703451.0
142555.0
404332.5
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12015605010020025030035016698

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+66Teleop
+66Endgame
+68Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
3Leave6
9Coral scored#7
44Coral points34
47Total auto40
TeleoperatedRed +59
14Coral scored#9
49Coral points32
4Processor algae#1
7Net algae#1
24Processor points6
28Net points4
52Algae points10
101Total teleop42
Reef
9L4#4
8L3#6
3L2#4
3L1 · trough#2
34Game pieces#18
Bargelevel
16Cage & park16
16Total endgame16
Penalties & totalRed +68
2Foul points0
166Total score98

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
957
#4
53.51.0
52.653.5
Auto17.5
Teleop27.8
End8.2
blue by 1.5
55.01.0
56.055.0
Auto16.4
Teleop30.1
End8.6
Second
3636
#12
53.01.0
52.153.0
Auto15.6
Teleop37.6
End-0.1
red by 2.0
51.01.0
52.051.0
Auto17.4
Teleop27.8
End5.9
Third
17.51.4
16.117.5
Auto6.3
Teleop9.6
End1.7
blue by 15.0
32.51.0
33.532.5
Auto10.7
Teleop18.5
End3.4