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Red68
99993.7
363653.0
95544.5
Blue88
999817.5
142555.0
13596.4
76%Model gave it24%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions134840501001502002506888

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
Teleop+2
Endgame+14
Fouls+20
AutonomousRed +3
9Leave6
4Coral scored#4
18Coral points18
27Total auto24
TeleoperatedBlue +5
8Coral scored#9
27Coral points34
0Processor algae#1
3Net algae#1
0Processor points6
12Net points4
12Algae points10
39Total teleop44
Reef
3L4#5
4L3#4
2L2#2
3L1 · trough#2
15Game pieces#15
BargeBlue +12
2Cage & park14
2Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +20
0Foul points6
68Total score88

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3636
#12
53.03.3
60.557.3
Auto15.6
Teleop37.6
End-0.1
blue by 2.0
55.00.2
60.260.5
Auto16.4
Teleop30.1
End8.6
Second
955
#13
44.53.3
52.649.3
Auto15.2
Teleop29.1
End0.2
red by 26.9
17.50.4
7.37.7
Auto6.3
Teleop9.6
End1.7
Third
9999
#24
3.75.4
3.8-1.6
Auto2.3
Teleop1.7
End-0.3
blue by 2.7
1359
#22
6.40.2
10.811.1
Auto3.2
Teleop0.3
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
82%Auto oddsMissed61%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
24%Coral oddsMissed10%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
16%Barge oddsMissed58%Barge oddsEarned