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Red76
669638.9
263515.5
255016.5
Blue70
404332.5
99728.3
99976.9
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions123910501502007670

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
+6Teleop
+6Endgame
+6Fouls
AutonomousBlue +7
9Leave0
0Coral scored#3
0Coral points16
9Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +13
11Coral scored#9
39Coral points34
2Processor algae#2
3Net algae#1
12Processor points12
12Net points4
24Algae points16
63Total teleop50
Reef
4L4#5
3L3#3
2L2#2
2L1 · trough#2
16Game pieces#15
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +6
0Foul points0
76Total score70

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6696
#19
38.91.4
49.748.3
Auto9.5
Teleop29.6
End-0.3
red by 6.4
32.50.6
36.135.5
Auto10.7
Teleop18.5
End3.4
Second
2550
#16
16.51.4
24.222.8
Auto3.2
Teleop9.9
End3.4
blue by 11.7
997
#20
28.30.6
31.631.0
Auto5.8
Teleop22.6
End-0.2
Third
2635
#17
15.51.4
21.119.7
Auto3.4
Teleop9.0
End3.0
red by 8.6
9997
#18
6.91.1
8.97.8
Auto4.2
Teleop2.7
End-0.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
44%Auto oddsEarned63%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
8%Coral oddsMissed10%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
48%Barge oddsMissed23%Barge oddsMissed