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Red79
999710.5
643149.1
599333.9
Blue191
645970.2
815971.7
926418.7
9%Model gave it91%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8517905015020025030035079191

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+10
Teleop+114
Endgame+110
Fouls+112
AutonomousBlue +10
6Leave0
5Coral scored#8
24Coral points40
30Total auto40
TeleoperatedBlue +104
6Coral scored#19
23Coral points69
1Processor algae#6
1Net algae#8
6Processor points36
4Net points32
10Algae points68
33Total teleop137
Reef
4L4#10
2L3#8
3L2#5
2L1 · trough#4
13Game pieces#41
BargeRed +4
4Cage & park0
4Total endgame0
Penalties & totalBlue +112
12Foul points14
79Total score191

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
49.10.6
49.849.2
Auto8.4
Teleop39.9
End0.7
blue by 22.6
71.70.4
70.871.2
Auto19.3
Teleop50.3
End2.1
Second
33.90.6
34.734.1
Auto8.5
Teleop24.0
End1.4
blue by 36.3
70.20.4
69.369.7
Auto18.2
Teleop51.8
End0.2
Third
9997
#14
10.50.6
11.310.7
Auto4.1
Teleop5.2
End1.3
blue by 8.1
9264
#10
18.70.4
17.718.2
Auto6.9
Teleop10.1
End1.7