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Red94
599333.9
602521.0
566531.7
Blue160
784043.5
815971.7
1039630.8
17%Model gave it83%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10215205020025094160

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
Teleop+62
Endgame+66
Fouls+66
AutonomousBlue +4
6Leave0
3Coral scored#5
17Coral points27
23Total auto27
TeleoperatedBlue +58
14Coral scored#23
49Coral points83
1Processor algae#3
2Net algae#5
6Processor points18
8Net points20
14Algae points38
63Total teleop121
Reef
7L4#8
5L3#9
3L2#6
2L1 · trough#5
20Game pieces#36
BargeBlue +4
2Cage & park6
2Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +66
6Foul points6
94Total score160

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33.91.0
24.323.3
Auto8.5
Teleop24.0
End1.4
blue by 37.8
71.70.9
64.465.2
Auto19.3
Teleop50.3
End2.1
Second
5665
#18
31.71.0
49.748.7
Auto6.1
Teleop24.7
End0.9
blue by 11.7
43.50.9
45.346.1
Auto10.5
Teleop27.4
End5.6
Third
6025
#13
21.01.0
23.022.0
Auto4.7
Teleop14.7
End1.6
blue by 9.8
30.80.9
26.127.0
Auto5.2
Teleop24.3
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
80%Auto oddsEarned82%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
19%Coral oddsMissed12%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
20%Barge oddsMissed36%Barge oddsMissed