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Red25
753612.9
643625.9
1021327.2
Blue114
1038316.3
808434.6
645970.2
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1101145010015020025114

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+33
Teleop+95
Endgame+93
Fouls+89
AutonomousBlue +33
6Leave9
0Coral scored#6
1Coral points31
7Total auto40
TeleoperatedBlue +62
3Coral scored#14
10Coral points50
0Processor algae#1
0Net algae#4
0Processor points6
0Net points16
0Algae points22
10Total teleop72
Reef
1L4#10
1L3#6
1L2#2
0L1 · trough#2
3Game pieces#25
BargeRed +2
4Cage & park2
4Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +89
4Foul points0
25Total score114

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.25.6
35.029.3
Auto4.9
Teleop21.3
End1.0
blue by 43.0
70.20.8
60.761.5
Auto18.2
Teleop51.8
End0.2
Second
25.95.6
35.830.2
Auto5.7
Teleop18.4
End1.7
blue by 8.7
34.61.2
25.626.8
Auto9.3
Teleop24.7
End0.5
Third
7536
#21DQ
12.98.1
34.626.5
Auto3.3
Teleop9.1
End0.5
blue by 3.4
16.31.2
15.516.7
Auto4.9
Teleop9.3
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
98%Auto oddsMissed68%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
9%Coral oddsMissed13%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
15%Barge oddsMissed27%Barge oddsMissed