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Red89
947317.2
643149.1
815332.5
Blue47
902612.0
761117.2
926418.7
92%Model gave it8%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions100360501502008947

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+46Teleop
+48Endgame
+42Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
3Leave6
3Coral scored#1
16Coral points6
19Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +39
13Coral scored#5
46Coral points19
2Processor algae#0
2Net algae#2
12Processor points0
8Net points8
20Algae points8
66Total teleop27
Reef
5L4#3
5L3#1
4L2#1
2L1 · trough#1
20Game pieces#8
BargeRed +2
4Cage & park2
4Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +42
0Foul points6
89Total score47

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
49.10.5
43.744.2
Auto8.4
Teleop39.9
End0.7
red by 30.4
9264
#10
18.70.2
14.714.9
Auto6.9
Teleop10.1
End1.7
Second
32.50.7
23.924.6
Auto4.3
Teleop26.2
End2.0
red by 15.3
17.20.2
16.917.0
Auto3.2
Teleop12.7
End1.3
Third
9473
#19
17.20.7
14.114.8
Auto3.4
Teleop12.0
End1.8
red by 5.2
9026
#20
12.00.2
7.27.4
Auto3.4
Teleop8.1
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
73%Auto oddsEarned47%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
14%Barge oddsMissed18%Barge oddsMissed