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Red135
645970.2
815971.7
Blue71
999710.5
497219.1
784043.5
100%Model gave it0%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions16858010015020025013571

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+31Auto
+64Teleop
+64Endgame
+64Fouls
AutonomousRed +31
0Leave6
9Coral scored#2
47Coral points10
47Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +33
17Coral scored#11
62Coral points41
1Processor algae#1
4Net algae#1
6Processor points6
16Net points4
22Algae points10
84Total teleop51
Reef
12L4#7
5L3#2
5L2#2
4L1 · trough#2
31Game pieces#15
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +64
0Foul points0
135Total score71

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
71.71.1
65.264.2
Auto19.3
Teleop50.3
End2.1
red by 28.2
43.50.6
46.145.5
Auto10.5
Teleop27.4
End5.6
Second
70.21.1
61.560.4
Auto18.2
Teleop51.8
End0.2
red by 51.1
4972
#11
19.10.9
13.312.3
Auto4.0
Teleop14.0
End1.1
Third
6.51.4
13.311.8
Auto3.5
Teleop2.1
End0.9
blue by 4.0
9997
#14
10.51.1
9.98.8
Auto4.1
Teleop5.2
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
91%Auto oddsEarned46%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
17%Coral oddsEarned3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
32%Barge oddsMissed11%Barge oddsMissed