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Red63
1038316.3
947317.2
1021327.2
Blue106
761117.2
808434.6
643149.1
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6010305015063106

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
Teleop+43
Endgame+43
Fouls+43
AutonomousRed +7
3Leave9
5Coral scored#2
24Coral points11
27Total auto20
TeleoperatedBlue +50
6Coral scored#17
20Coral points62
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#3
6Processor points6
4Net points12
10Algae points18
30Total teleop80
Reef
3L4#6
4L3#6
2L2#4
2L1 · trough#3
13Game pieces#23
Bargelevel
6Cage & park6
6Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +43
0Foul points0
63Total score106

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.20.1
29.329.5
Auto4.9
Teleop21.3
End1.0
blue by 21.8
49.11.2
44.245.4
Auto8.4
Teleop39.9
End0.7
Second
9473
#19
17.20.2
14.815.0
Auto3.4
Teleop12.0
End1.8
blue by 17.4
34.61.6
26.828.4
Auto9.3
Teleop24.7
End0.5
Third
16.30.2
16.716.9
Auto4.9
Teleop9.3
End2.0
blue by 0.9
17.21.2
17.018.2
Auto3.2
Teleop12.7
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
61%Auto oddsEarned63%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
11%Coral oddsMissed2%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
21%Barge oddsMissed11%Barge oddsMissed